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What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.2k
SELL No @ 69¢ · 19,054 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet VICTORMAX77 took No (sell) for $13.2k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 30.9%
- Size
- $13.2k
- Placed
- May 23, 11:57 EDT
- Market close
- May 23, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- VICTORMAX77
- Tx
- 0x07c7de0b…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-11.4 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsNo price · entry 69¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |