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What this means. A wallet put $14.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.5k
SELL No @ 85¢ · 17,075 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet Maksimenkov took No (sell) for $14.5k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 14.8%
- Size
- $14.5k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 22:41 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Maksimenkov
- Tx
- 0x077687df…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-4.8 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -15 ptsNo price · entry 85¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $16.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 98.3¢ | $32.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $83.6k 4.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $24.5k | excluded |