← Wallets
−$10.4kNo · avg 58¢ → 50¢ · $69.1k−$15.7kYes · avg 40¢ → 8.5¢ · $4,250 · 0 proven with, 1 against−$7,641Yes · avg 20¢ → 3.6¢ · $1,734−$652Yes · avg 8¢ → 1.9¢ · $210−$40Yes · avg 42¢ → 22¢ · $46+$2No · avg 77¢ → 80¢ · $45
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -4.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-4.8 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$93.2k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$461.3k
Last 30 days −$118.5k · $5.47M volume · 3,146 trades · since Oct 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$385.7k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$57.0k
Closed-position win rate
38%
87 closed
Wallet age · markets
360d
89 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 4 | 1 | 1.2 | -4.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 47¢ | $10.7k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 85¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $22.0k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 61¢ | $11.2k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $14.2k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $20.5k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x95d470…