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What this means. A wallet put $14.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?missed
$14.2k
SELL No @ 90¢ · 15,808 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet Maksimenkov took No (sell) for $14.2k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
90¢
Implied odds
10.0%
Size
$14.2k
Placed
Jan 20, 11:45 EST
Market close
Feb 01, 00:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Maksimenkov
Tx
0xe4afec9a…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-4.8 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -10 pts
No price · entry 90¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 90¢ · $14.2k WHALE $14.2K @ 90¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $19.9k0% 0x0fe4…01b7266d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k100% 0x276d…6f29266d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k100% 0x8ade…dda5266d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $11.1k0% 0xdaca…460a267d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $60.5k100% 0xaaa9…2224267d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $44.6k0% 0x80ff…b9b5267d agoexcluded