← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $37.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$37.1k
SELL No @ 98.3¢ · 37,701 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet stupid22 took No (sell) for $37.1k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $37.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 1.7%
- Size
- $37.1k
- Placed
- Apr 03, 02:18 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- stupid22
- Tx
- 0x052c7f6c…
This wallet's graded record
10/12-8.5 pts
expected 11.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $55.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $147.0k 4.9× usual |
excluded |