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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-8.7 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY Yes @ 84¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet mr.ozi took Yes (buy) for $12.6k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−525American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 84.0%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 11:12 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mr.ozi
- Tx
- 0x04081f7c…
This wallet's graded record
11/21-8.7 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $152.6k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $34.4k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $50.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $62.7k | excluded |