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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on not Broncos, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Broncos vs. Chiefsexcluded
$13.5k
SELL Broncos @ 45¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xa2b7…4256 took Broncos (sell) for $13.5k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
45¢
Implied odds
55.0%
As American odds
−122 no vig
Size
$13.5k
Placed
Sep 14, 20:04 EDT
Market close
Sep 14, 20:15 EDT
Result
Chiefs
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xa2b7…4256
Tx
0x0144d293…

Entry to resolution

Grade +45 pts
Broncos price · entry 45¢ · resolved Chiefs · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $13.5k WHALE $13.5K @ 45¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Broncos vs. ChiefsMED SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ $4.85M
3.6× usual
0% 0x5169…184239d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 99.9¢ $64.0k100% 0x2c33…056339d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW SELL Chiefs @ 98.9¢ $17.0k1% johnny23439d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 90¢ $40.0k90% fivethirty39d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 57¢ $10.3k57% 0xfc08…a13739d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 65¢ $14.3k65% sulumos39d agoexcluded