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Broncos vs. Chiefsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on not Broncos, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.5k
SELL Broncos @ 45¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xa2b7…4256 took Broncos (sell) for $13.5k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $13.5k
- Placed
- Sep 14, 20:04 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 14, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xa2b7…4256
- Tx
- 0x0144d293…
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Entry to resolution
Grade +45 ptsBroncos price · entry 45¢ · resolved Chiefs · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $4.85M 3.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $64.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Chiefs @ 98.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 90¢ | $40.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 57¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 65¢ | $14.3k | excluded |