Monday, August 18, 2025

3 whale trades totalling $158.8k from 3 wallets. Biggest: $85.4k buy No on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” at 60¢. 13 of 41 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 24.6 expected (-28.3 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 60¢	$85.4k 2.8× usual	60%	horiz0n	431d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	MED BUY Yes @ 36¢	$49.9k	36%	0xaf21…7482	431d ago	missed	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 62¢	$23.4k	62%	SwissMiss LOSING	431d ago	excluded

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 60¢$85.4k

LOW horiz0n · 431d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?missed

BUY Yes @ 36¢$49.9k

MED 0xaf21…7482 · 431d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 62¢$23.4k

LOW LOSING SwissMiss · 431d ago

Most traded markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$158.8k · 3 flags