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What this means. A wallet put $54.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$54.8k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 84,458 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xb5b4…b6c4 took Yes (buy) for $54.8k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $54.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−185American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 64.9%
- Size
- $54.8k
- Placed
- Feb 06, 22:57 EST
- Market close
- Aug 18, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xb5b4…b6c4
- Tx
- 0x911a5dbf…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-64.9 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |