← Live flags
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?
Yes
5.8¢
No
94.2¢
Volume
$29.8k
No $10k+ trade on this market has been flagged yet, so there are no graded flags here. You can still see who holds each side, and big trades as they happen.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysU.S. Treasury Yields Fall as Investors Digest Fed Meet, Focus Shifts to ECBWSJ · Google News · 2h agoKey Bessent trade adviser leaves Treasury for NetflixAxios · Google News · 12h agoUS-Friendly Nations Slash Treasury Purchases by 60%, Led by AsiaBloomberg · Google News · 1d ago10-year Treasury yield creeps higher even as Fed keeps rates the sameCNBC · Google News · 1d ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Biggest holders right now
Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.
Yes 5.8¢no rated wallets
- 0x32db…c7f0$267
- fledger$232
- ViscaElBarca$38
- xtxpleasecallme$20
- HerrieDavis$14
- GotGreenWood$12
- planktonXD$10
- Pol7StrategyBuilder$3
No 94.2¢no rated wallets
- HDGB$8,812
- 0x49f2…d7b4$417
- title1$174
- commeowder$99
- Digital-Boy$84
- 2B9S$28
- NoSteinNoGate$28
- ju5z0v5rpcf8$27
- 0xcb09…3f66$1
- 1LC-GROWTH-MIXED-HUGE-FUND$1
Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.
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