HDGB

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$24.7kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $66.7k Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$24.7kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $17.3k Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?−$235No · avg 95.3¢ → 92.2¢ · $7,072 Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?−$22No · avg 96.9¢ → 96.2¢ · $3,292 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?−$64No · avg 90.6¢ → 89¢ · $2,784 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?+$2,077No · avg 11¢ → 53¢ · $2,607 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?+$152No · avg 92.6¢ → 98.6¢ · $2,516 Will FC Aktobe be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?+$33No · avg 96.9¢ → 98.6¢ · $1,979

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$189.9k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$82.7k

Last 30 days +$15.1k · $121.50M volume · 128,677 trades · since Aug 27, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$247.1k

Open P&L · 440 positions

+$10.4k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

424d

1098 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$12.9k	100%	133d ago	excluded
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$10.4k	0%	182d ago	excluded
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$38.0k	100%	195d ago	excluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$20.2k	99%	205d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$41.7k	99%	234d ago	excluded
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$66.7k 2.3× usual	100%	360d ago	excluded

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$12.9k

LOW HDGB · 133d ago

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.4k

LOW HDGB · 182d ago

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$38.0k

LOW HDGB · 195d ago

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$20.2k

LOW HDGB · 205d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$41.7k

LOW HDGB · 234d ago

Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$66.7k

LOW HDGB · 360d ago

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