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UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)

Resolved: Grant Dawson
Flags
7
Net whale flow → Grant Dawson
+$249.7k
Grant Dawson 7d ago → now
—
Category
Sports
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Grant Dawson$318.9k
4 flags
$11.1k
1 wallet
none
Mateusz Rebecki$45.2k
2 flags
none none
Not Grant Dawson$24.0k
1 flag
none none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL Grant Dawson @ 99.9¢ $24.0k0% thebluegem167d agoexcluded
MED BUY Grant Dawson @ 58¢ $191.1k58% Sassy-Bucket167d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Mateusz Rebecki @ 42¢ $11.6k42% sunflowaa167d agoexcluded
MED BUY Grant Dawson @ 58¢ $33.9k58% Sassy-Bucket167d agoexcluded
MED BUY Grant Dawson @ 58¢ $82.7k58% Sassy-Bucket167d agoexcluded
LOW BUY Grant Dawson @ 55¢ $11.1k55% Talvez10 PROVEN167d agocalled
LOW BUY Mateusz Rebecki @ 41¢ $33.6k41% 05143168d agomissed

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 7 whale trades on this market totalling $388.1k from 5 wallets. The largest was $191.1k (buy Grant Dawson at 58¢). Most whale money ($318.9k) went to Grant Dawson. 4 of 7 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Sassy-Bucket ($307.7k), has called 4 of 12 graded flags overall (-16.2 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (ufc-gra-mat13-2026-05-09).