UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Dawson | $318.9k 4 flags |
$11.1k 1 wallet |
none |
| Mateusz Rebecki | $45.2k 2 flags |
none | none |
| Not Grant Dawson | $24.0k 1 flag |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Grant Dawson @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Grant Dawson @ 58¢ | $191.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Mateusz Rebecki @ 42¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY Grant Dawson @ 58¢ | $33.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY Grant Dawson @ 58¢ | $82.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Grant Dawson @ 55¢ | $11.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Mateusz Rebecki @ 41¢ | $33.6k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 7 whale trades on this market totalling $388.1k from 5 wallets. The largest was $191.1k (buy Grant Dawson at 58¢). Most whale money ($318.9k) went to Grant Dawson. 4 of 7 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, Sassy-Bucket ($307.7k), has called 4 of 12 graded flags overall (-16.2 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (ufc-gra-mat13-2026-05-09).