Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Outcome price
Biggest holders right now
Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.
- vsesoso$3,366
- whysoslow$2,201
- gatorr$945
- UniversalCarrier$884
- cataction$495
- EternalDecay$467
- meagainsttheworld$389
- SanctionedBets$375
- 0x6376…f5a1$330
- knrad$155
- ogawa$146
- lorasw$129
- kevtp$47.8k
- gorovi$30.9k
- keribit$28.6k
- DFK$27.7k
- 0xe120…283e$26.9k
- whig$19.1k
- tetrase$7,535
- xset$6,382
- Aq4ExePrd22Jn$5,743
- Stableincome$4,775
- Bromley86$3,820
- DegenerateJanet$2,903
Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Not No | $11.4k 1 flag |
none | none |
No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 95¢ | $11.4k | pending |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 1 whale trade on this market totalling $11.4k from 1 wallet. The largest was $11.4k (sell No at 95¢). Most whale money ($11.4k) went against No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, DFK ($11.4k), has no graded flags yet.
Market data from Polymarket (will-russia-invade-a-nato-country-by-december-31-2026-793).