WhaleGrader Account
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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$12.8k

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-29?

0xb4f9…c9a7 bought Yes at 42¢. The price gave that side a 42% chance. 30,594 shares, Oct 29, 15:41 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market resolved No, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0xb4f9…c9a7 bought Yes for $12.8k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied 42% for the side they took. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 3 of 4 on graded bets, +24.8 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.8k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -42 pts
Yes price · entry 42¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 42¢ · $12.8k WHALE $12.8K @ 42¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

NO Over 3.5 goals scored$37.8k56¢8h ago