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What this means. A wallet put $27.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called
$27.5k
BUY Yes @ 81¢ · 34,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What happened

Wallet 0x7177…ddef took Yes (buy) for $27.5k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $27.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−426American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
81¢
Implied odds
81.0%
Size
$27.5k
Placed
Sep 06, 23:18 EDT
Market close
Nov 04, 07:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x7177…ddef
Tx
0xfa90e945…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-5.1 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.4k0% 0xe7b2…f558353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.0k0% 0x80c5…65d1353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $33.3k0% 0xa60e…d332353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $163.4k
6.5× usual
0% Gmoas353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.7k0% 0x8b66…02ed353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $63.6k0% 0x1c0b…9f41353d agoexcluded