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Flames vs. Ducksexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $59.4k on Ducks, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Flames vs. Ducksexcluded$59.4k
BUY Ducks @ 58¢ · 102,452 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Mosley1 took Ducks (buy) for $59.4k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Flames. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $59.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Ducks wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $59.4k
- Placed
- Apr 04, 23:00 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 04, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- Flames
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Mosley1
- Tx
- 0xf5bec2d6…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-8.5 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsDucks price · entry 58¢ · resolved Flames
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flames vs. Ducks | LOW BUY Flames @ 78¢ | $88.9k | excluded |
| Flames vs. Ducks | MED BUY Flames @ 44¢ | $120.3k | excluded |
| Flames vs. Ducks | LOW BUY Flames @ 43¢ | $25.0k | called |
| Flames vs. Ducks | MED BUY Ducks @ 59¢ | $29.2k | missed |
| Flames vs. Ducks | LOW BUY Flames @ 40¢ | $20.0k | called |