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What this means. A wallet put $27.5k on not Leylah Fernandez, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.5k
SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ · 27,488 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x246b…fb5b took Leylah Fernandez (sell) for $27.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Leylah Fernandez. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $27.5k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 05:27 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 03:10 EDT
- Result
- Leylah Fernandez
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x246b…fb5b
- Tx
- 0xf52409cc…
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ | $78.6k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ | $76.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 87¢ | $24.0k | excluded | |
| LOW Leylah Fernandez DOWN -13.0 pts $43.2k whale money behind it | $169.6k 24h vol |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Ekaterina Alexandrova @ 69¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Ekaterina Alexandrova @ 55¢ | $23.2k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.
| YES Leylah Fernandez | $10.4k | 89¢ | 1d ago |
| YES Leylah Fernandez | $49.7k | 91¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Leylah Fernandez odds move | $140.7k | 79¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Leylah Fernandez | $30.2k | 69¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Leylah Fernandez | $10.4k | 71¢ | 1d ago |
| YES Leylah Fernandez | $15.6k | 27¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Leylah Fernandez | $13.8k | 69¢ | 1d ago |
| YES Ekaterina Alexandrova | $22.3k | 62¢ | 1d ago |