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What this means. A wallet put $27.5k on not Leylah Fernandez, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrovaexcluded
$27.5k
SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ · 27,488 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x246b…fb5b took Leylah Fernandez (sell) for $27.5k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Leylah Fernandez. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $27.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$27.5k
Placed
Oct 23, 05:27 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 03:10 EDT
Result
Leylah Fernandez
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x246b…fb5b
Tx
0xf52409cc…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaLOW SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ $78.6k
3.4× usual
0% Kkunn1d agoexcluded
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaLOW SELL Leylah Fernandez @ 99.9¢ $76.6k
3.3× usual
0% robustmst1d agoexcluded
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaLOW BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 87¢ $24.0k87% 0x246b…fb5b1d agoexcluded
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaLOW Leylah Fernandez DOWN -13.0 pts $43.2k whale money behind it $169.6k
24h vol
68% —1d agoexcluded
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaLOW BUY Ekaterina Alexandrova @ 69¢ $20.0k69% 0x246b…fb5b1d agoexcluded
Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaLOW BUY Ekaterina Alexandrova @ 55¢ $23.2k55% ferrariChampions20261d agoexcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.

YES Leylah Fernandez$10.4k89¢1d ago
YES Leylah Fernandez$49.7k91¢1d ago
NO Leylah Fernandez odds move$140.7k79¢1d ago
NO Leylah Fernandez$30.2k69¢1d ago
NO Leylah Fernandez$10.4k71¢1d ago
YES Leylah Fernandez$15.6k27¢1d ago
NO Leylah Fernandez$13.8k69¢1d ago
YES Ekaterina Alexandrova$22.3k62¢1d ago