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What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?excluded
$30.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther

What happened

Wallet 0xd8c4…848d took No (buy) for $30.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $30.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$30.0k
Placed
Feb 07, 00:24 EST
Market close
Feb 07, 09:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xd8c4…848d
Tx
0xf40e9251…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $30.0k WHALE $30.0K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% 0x0612…bf7b259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.7k0% 0xbd70…d270259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ $14.6k3% 0x665b…73ba259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $249.7k
7.5× usual
100% 0xdf1b…b963259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $24.1k100% LinaBell🦊259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.0k100% onekey09262d agoexcluded