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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?excluded
$14.6k
SELL No @ 97.3¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet 0x665b…73ba took No (sell) for $14.6k at an average 97.3¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
97.3¢
Implied odds
2.7%
Size
$14.6k
Placed
Feb 07, 00:59 EST
Market close
Feb 07, 09:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x665b…73ba
Tx
0x353455ee…

Entry to resolution

Grade -3 pts
No price · entry 97.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97.3¢ · $14.6k WHALE $14.6K @ 97.3¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% 0x0612…bf7b259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.7k0% 0xbd70…d270259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $249.7k
7.5× usual
100% 0xdf1b…b963259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% 0xd8c4…848d259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $24.1k100% LinaBell🦊259d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $10.0k100% onekey09262d agoexcluded