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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 11,747 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet 0xbd70…d270 took No (sell) for $11.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Feb 07, 01:05 EST
- Market close
- Feb 07, 09:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xbd70…d270
- Tx
- 0x19884c89…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $249.7k 7.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $24.1k | excluded |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.0k | excluded |