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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.0k
BUY No @ 51¢ · 21,477 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet TwoEyes took No (buy) for $11.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Sep 04, 19:07 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TwoEyes
- Tx
- 0xf39957bb…
This wallet's graded record
8/14-10.3 pts
expected 9.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsNo price · entry 51¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |