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What this means. A wallet put $39.7k on Jazz, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Jazz vs. Grizzliesexcluded
$39.7k
BUY Jazz @ 45¢ · 88,222 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Yellow-Fever took Jazz (buy) for $39.7k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Grizzlies. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $39.7k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Jazz wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
45¢
Implied odds
45.0%
As American odds
+122 no vig
Size
$39.7k
Placed
Oct 21, 20:02 EDT
Market close
Oct 21, 20:00 EDT
Result
Grizzlies
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Yellow-Fever
Tx
0xf271a7b3…

Entry to resolution

Grade -45 pts
Jazz price · entry 45¢ · resolved Grizzlies
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $39.7k WHALE $39.7K @ 45¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Jazz vs. GrizzliesLOW BUY Grizzlies @ 55¢ $12.4k55% Nooserac2d agoexcluded
Jazz vs. GrizzliesHIGH BUY Grizzlies @ 54¢ $318.5k
2.8× usual
54% googleplay2d agocalled
Jazz vs. GrizzliesMED BUY Grizzlies @ 55¢ $115.8k
2.3× usual
55% BreakTheBank PROVEN2d agocalled