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What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?excluded
$12.5k
SELL No @ 97.9¢ · 12,720 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081 took No (sell) for $12.5k at an average 97.9¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
97.9¢
Implied odds
2.1%
Size
$12.5k
Placed
Feb 03, 14:11 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 00:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081
Tx
0xeccafb51…
This wallet's graded record
5/8+9.9 pts
expected 4.2 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% YeaYeaYeaYeaYeaYea238d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $204.4k
5.2× usual
100% geniusMC241d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% YeaYeaYeaYeaYeaYea242d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.5k0% x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081243d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $108.7k
2.4× usual
0% 4gibg4i3o245d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $13.8k100% geniusMC245d agoexcluded