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What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.5k
BUY No @ 30¢ · 84,932 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $25.5k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $25.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- As American odds
- +233 no vig
- Size
- $25.5k
- Placed
- Mar 03, 15:15 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 15:15 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xea70ad3f…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +70 ptsNo price · entry 30¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $27.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |