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What this means. A wallet put $15.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.6k
BUY No @ 96.9¢ · 16,096 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took No (buy) for $15.6k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3076American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.9¢
- Implied odds
- 96.9%
- Size
- $15.6k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 12:00 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 19, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0xea28e51d…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 97.4¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 94.7¢ | $10.9k | excluded |