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What this means. A wallet put $13.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.5k
BUY Yes @ 79¢ · 17,042 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet scout took Yes (buy) for $13.5k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−376American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- Size
- $13.5k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 09:07 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 31, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- scout
- Tx
- 0xe982a049…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.8 pts
expected 3.8 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +4.5 ptsYes price · entry 79¢ · now 84¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 82¢ | $11.9k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | LOW Yes UP +10.5 pts $11.9k whale money behind it | $362.1k 24h vol |
pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ | $12.0k | pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | LOW Yes UP +10.0 pts | $229.2k 24h vol |
pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | LOW Yes DOWN -10.0 pts | $487.9k 24h vol |
pending |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $14.1k | pending |