Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

eightpenguins sold No at 99.1¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 1% chance. 11,727 shares, Oct 29, 13:42 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet eightpenguins sold No for $11.6k at an average 99.1¢. At that price the market implied 1% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $11.6k+0

Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1

Near-certain price-2

Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.1 pts

No price · entry 99.1¢ · now 99.2¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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AHWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?