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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 84¢ · 17,857 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet sugar-super took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−525American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
84¢
Implied odds
84.0%
As American odds
−525 no vig
Size
$15.0k
Placed
Jun 23, 15:32 EDT
Market close
Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
sugar-super
Tx
0xe5caa8dc…

Entry to resolution

Grade -84 pts
Yes price · entry 84¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 84¢ · $15.0k WHALE $15.0K @ 84¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.1× usual
0% GrizzliesSuck122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% Endgametheory122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $20.9k1% imake1mil122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.2k1% jackinv1lvl2122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.4k1% tenpercenttest122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $48.1k99% 0x2c33…0563122d agoexcluded