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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.8k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 13,788 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x5813…b464 took No (sell) for $13.8k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 04:17 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 03:13 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x5813…b464
- Tx
- 0xe2274583…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $69.2k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $62.8k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $15.9k | excluded |