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Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $1.30M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded$1.30M
BUY Yes @ 60¢ · 2,163,328 shares in 10 fills
Size ≥ $250k10 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)27.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x709e…66f5 took Yes (buy) for $1.30M at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.30M+3
10 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−152American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.3%
- As American odds
- −152 no vig
- Size
- $1.30M
- Placed
- Jun 21, 21:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x709e…66f5
- Tx
- 0xe1c8a40a…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+24.9 pts
expected 4.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsYes price · entry 60¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $364.1k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $123.8k | excluded |