← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $16.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.1k
BUY Yes @ 85¢ · 18,953 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $16.1k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.1k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- As American odds
- −567 no vig
- Size
- $16.1k
- Placed
- Feb 21, 16:16 EST
- Market close
- Feb 21, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xe19d32c1…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +15 ptsYes price · entry 85¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $34.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | LOW SELL No @ 28¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $586.6k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $2.80M | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? | MED BUY No @ 31¢ | $44.4k | excluded |