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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
BUY Yes @ 43¢ · 34,014 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (buy) for $14.6k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 43¢
- Implied odds
- 43.0%
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Apr 09, 11:30 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 19:55 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xe0e9326f…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $38.4k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $68.8k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $18.2k | excluded |