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What this means. A wallet put $60.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$60.5k
SELL Yes @ 92¢ · 65,774 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side4 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.9× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet gaven-willwin took Yes (sell) for $60.5k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $60.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $60.5k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 04:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gaven-willwin
- Tx
- 0xdfcddb88…
This wallet's graded record
2/3-14.6 pts
expected 2.4 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |