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What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?excluded
$14.8k
BUY Yes @ 97¢ · 15,236 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet PajamaSam took Yes (buy) for $14.8k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3224American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
97.0%
Size
$14.8k
Placed
Feb 28, 01:20 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
PajamaSam
Tx
0xdeb4e42b…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% BulkeyBull238d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.5k0% 0x8005…d004238d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN238d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $23.2k0% okcoolstorybro238d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ $16.1k0% FogofWar238d agoexcluded
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $26.9k100% okcoolstorybro238d agoexcluded