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What this means. A wallet put $199.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
$199.2k
BUY Yes @ 71¢ · 279,565 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 888j took Yes (buy) for $199.2k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $199.2k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−248American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
71¢
Implied odds
71.2%
As American odds
−248 no vig
Size
$199.2k
Placed
Jun 23, 17:05 EDT
Market close
Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
888j
Tx
0xde8d9501…

Entry to resolution

Grade -71 pts
Yes price · entry 71¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 71¢ · $199.2k WHALE $199.2K @ 71¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.1× usual
0% GrizzliesSuck122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% Endgametheory122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $20.9k1% imake1mil122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.2k1% jackinv1lvl2122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.4k1% tenpercenttest122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $48.1k99% 0x2c33…0563122d agoexcluded