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What this means. A wallet put $25.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.2k
SELL Yes @ 63¢ · 40,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 999ww took Yes (sell) for $25.2k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 37.0%
- Size
- $25.2k
- Placed
- Mar 22, 17:08 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 29, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 999ww
- Tx
- 0xdbf098e7…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-39.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -37 ptsYes price · entry 63¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | MED SELL Yes @ 65¢ | $39.2k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $10.3k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $11.1k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $15.6k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $10.2k | missed |