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What this means. A wallet put $31.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?excluded
$31.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 30,997 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet TPIM0x478967faF43441E727 took Yes (sell) for $31.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $31.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$31.0k
Placed
Apr 24, 16:25 EDT
Market close
Apr 24, 14:30 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TPIM0x478967faF43441E727
Tx
0xdb23a828…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+8.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% Reconquistador182d agoexcluded
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $151.9k
7.4× usual
0% elkmonkey182d agoexcluded
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $67.6k0% 0x8a6c…0b3f183d agoexcluded
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ $43.5k65% 0x8a6c…0b3f183d agoexcluded
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $10.1k67% elkmonkey183d agocalled
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $36.0k67% elkmonkey183d agocalled