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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 24% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.4k
SELL No @ 76¢ · 22,885 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet 5245242 took No (sell) for $17.4k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 24% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 24.2%
- Size
- $17.4k
- Placed
- Mar 19, 08:53 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 5245242
- Tx
- 0xdaf36e5a…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+0.8 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $58.4k 3.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $30.0k | excluded |