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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 24% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?missed
$17.4k
SELL No @ 76¢ · 22,885 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet 5245242 took No (sell) for $17.4k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 24% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
76¢
Implied odds
24.2%
Size
$17.4k
Placed
Mar 19, 08:53 EDT
Market close
Apr 01, 00:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
5245242
Tx
0xdaf36e5a…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+0.8 pts
expected 4.0 from price
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Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $58.4k
3.2× usual
0% Leebbc206d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $31.8k0% upont206d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.2k100% Boss7207d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $14.5k100% Boss7207d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $19.2k0% Ingg207d agoexcluded
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $30.0k99% Funboyboy207d agoexcluded