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What this means. A wallet put $85.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$85.1k
BUY No @ 45¢ · 187,777 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $10k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet migrodrigues took No (buy) for $85.1k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $85.1k+1
5 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+121American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.3%
- As American odds
- +121 no vig
- Size
- $85.1k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 14:55 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- migrodrigues
- Tx
- 0xdab2b3d9…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-1.7 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -45 ptsNo price · entry 45¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $20.5k | excluded |