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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Broncosmissed
$10.5k
BUY Broncos @ 35¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet 0x68dd…f0b2 took Broncos (buy) for $10.5k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Patriots, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
35¢
Implied odds
35.0%
As American odds
+186 no vig
Size
$10.5k
Placed
Jan 25, 13:09 EST
Market close
Jan 25, 15:00 EST
Result
Patriots
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x68dd…f0b2
Tx
0xda3eeeb9…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-31.7 pts
expected 3.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -35 pts
Broncos price · entry 35¢ · resolved Patriots
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 35¢ · $10.5k WHALE $10.5K @ 35¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ $36.6k0% 0xd1ec…5d8e271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ $16.5k0% 0x8bba…12ef271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ $14.9k0% igetlitty271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ $11.7k0% 0xa6e3…6dfe271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ $16.3k0% 0x85d2…cc46271d agoexcluded
Patriots vs. BroncosLOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ $45.9k0% 0x6ce4…bb71271d agoexcluded