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What this means. A wallet put $36.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded
$36.8k
SELL No @ 99.5¢ · 36,979 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet madril took No (sell) for $36.8k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $36.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.5¢
Implied odds
0.5%
Size
$36.8k
Placed
Dec 02, 06:01 EST
Market close
Apr 15, 23:15 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
madril
Tx
0xda3433bd…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $96.5k100% iPrediction192d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $30.0k
2.2× usual
100% timebrotime199d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL No @ 98.1¢ $32.3k2% tphhh220d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?MED SELL No @ 98.1¢ $120.4k
3.8× usual
2% tphhh221d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $87.1k
2.7× usual
100% tphhh221d agoexcluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $39.9k0% tphhh222d agoexcluded