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What this means. A wallet put $69.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$69.8k
BUY No @ 79¢ · 88,554 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (buy) for $69.8k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $69.8k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−373American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 78.9%
- Size
- $69.8k
- Placed
- Jun 07, 03:16 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0xd5ecf6f2…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 78¢ | $14.2k | excluded |