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What this means. A wallet put $38.2k on Grizzlies, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsexcluded
$38.2k
BUY Grizzlies @ 19¢ · 200,907 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet bcda took Grizzlies (buy) for $38.2k at an average 19¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved Rockets. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $38.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 19¢ means
19%chance the market gave
+426American odds
$1.00paid per share if Grizzlies wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
19¢
Implied odds
19.0%
As American odds
+426 no vig
Size
$38.2k
Placed
Jan 26, 19:05 EST
Market close
Jan 26, 20:00 EST
Result
Rockets
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
bcda
Tx
0xd0ced6be…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-45.6 pts
expected 2.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -19 pts
Grizzlies price · entry 19¢ · resolved Rockets
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 19¢ · $38.2k WHALE $38.2K @ 19¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Grizzlies vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $28.6k0% 0xb96d…4179270d agoexcluded
Grizzlies vs. RocketsLOW BUY Rockets @ 99.7¢ $28.6k100% 0xb96d…4179271d agoexcluded
Grizzlies vs. RocketsMED BUY Rockets @ 81¢ $71.3k
2.9× usual
81% Painfulvoid271d agoexcluded
Grizzlies vs. RocketsLOW BUY Rockets @ 81¢ $16.2k81% Nooserac271d agoexcluded
Grizzlies vs. RocketsLOW BUY Grizzlies @ 19¢ $14.3k19% 0xb8e6…d504271d agoexcluded
Grizzlies vs. RocketsLOW BUY Rockets @ 81¢ $26.3k81% 0x94f0…cd31271d agoexcluded