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What this means. A wallet put $54.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?excluded
$54.0k
BUY No @ 99¢ · 54,582 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.1× this wallet's usual betPolitics

What happened

Wallet almost-never took No (buy) for $54.0k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $54.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9809American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99¢
Implied odds
99.0%
Size
$54.0k
Placed
Oct 30, 09:33 EDT
Market close
Nov 02, 11:26 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
almost-never
Tx
0xcfea9b9b…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+7.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
No price · entry 99¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99¢ · $54.0k WHALE $54.0K @ 99¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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