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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
SELL No @ 70¢ · 14,376 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet emcor took No (sell) for $10.1k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Jan 13, 07:18 EST
- Market close
- Jan 29, 12:52 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- emcor
- Tx
- 0xcda8fca1…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-6.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | MED SELL No @ 60¢ | $47.8k 2.7× usual |
called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | MED SELL No @ 77¢ | $56.3k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $24.2k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | MED BUY No @ 74¢ | $51.1k 2.1× usual |
missed |