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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -65.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-65.8 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$73.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$248.3k
Last 30 days +$0 · $6.67M volume · 33,660 trades · since Dec 15, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$114.0k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
35%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
313d
630 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -65.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 66¢ | $10.8k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $48.1k 3.4× usual |
missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 65¢ | $14.1k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1963c5…