← Live flags
Polymarket · Crypto · one bet
OpenResolves Jan 1
$10.2k
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Car sold No at 95.6¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 4% chance. 10,682 shares, Oct 29, 13:16 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Car sold No for $10.2k at an average 95.6¢. At that price the market implied 4% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $10.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.2 ptsNo price · entry 95.6¢ · now 95.9¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
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