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Commanders vs. 49ersexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $47.5k on 49ers, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Commanders vs. 49ersexcluded$47.5k
BUY 49ers @ 94.9¢ · 50,074 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet LadyLuck2 took 49ers (buy) for $47.5k at an average 94.9¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved 49ers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $47.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1842American odds
$1.00paid per share if 49ers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.9¢
- Implied odds
- 94.9%
- As American odds
- −1842 no vig
- Size
- $47.5k
- Placed
- Oct 19, 22:27 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 19, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- 49ers
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- LadyLuck2
- Tx
- 0xc90bbff7…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 28¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 66¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 31¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW SELL 49ers @ 86¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY Commanders @ 10¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Commanders vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 94.6¢ | $10.0k | excluded |