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Chiefs vs. Raidersexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $40.0k on Raiders, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Chiefs vs. Raidersexcluded$40.0k
BUY Raiders @ 40¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xbc43…96d3 took Raiders (buy) for $40.0k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $40.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Raiders wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- As American odds
- +150 no vig
- Size
- $40.0k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 16:33 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 16:25 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xbc43…96d3
- Tx
- 0xc8fab108…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+27.0 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsRaiders price · entry 40¢ · resolved Chiefs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 87¢ | $24.1k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 98¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99¢ | $70.4k | excluded |