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What this means. A wallet put $30.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.9k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 58,308 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet RJW1 took Yes (buy) for $30.9k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $30.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $30.9k
- Placed
- Apr 08, 14:42 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 08, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- RJW1
- Tx
- 0xc35295d7…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+43.8 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsYes price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $74.3k | excluded |